PROBABILITY MODEL FOR THE ERROR ESTIMATION AT SEISMIC-ACOUSTIC FORECAST WHILE COAL MINING

Автор(и)

  • Юрій Миколайович Головко НТУ «Дніпровська політехніка», Україна
  • Олена Олександрівна Сдвижкова НТУ «Дніпровська політехніка», Україна
  • Діна Володимирівна Клименко НТУ «Дніпровська політехніка», Україна

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.31319/2519-8106.2(41)2019.185048

Ключові слова:

probability model, seismic-acoustic method, outburst forecast

Анотація

Seismic-acoustic method is widely used currently to predict rock bursts and outbursts in coal mines. То improve this method the two prognostic criteria model is developed to avoid the forecast errors. The proposed mathematical model provides decreasing the probability of type I errors (“false positive”) without significant growth of type II errors (“false negative”). The probabilistic model proposed takes into consideration a time parameter as well.

Посилання

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Опубліковано

2019-11-28

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