DOI: https://doi.org/10.31319/2519-8106.2(41)2019.185048

PROBABILITY MODEL FOR THE ERROR ESTIMATION AT SEISMIC-ACOUSTIC FORECAST WHILE COAL MINING

Юрій Миколайович Головко, Олена Олександрівна Сдвижкова, Діна Володимирівна Клименко

Анотація


Seismic-acoustic method is widely used currently to predict rock bursts and outbursts in coal mines. То improve this method the two prognostic criteria model is developed to avoid the forecast errors. The proposed mathematical model provides decreasing the probability of type I errors (“false positive”) without significant growth of type II errors (“false negative”). The probabilistic model proposed takes into consideration a time parameter as well.

Ключові слова


probability model; seismic-acoustic method; outburst forecast

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Посилання


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ISSN 2519-8106 (Print), eISSN 2519-8114 (Online)